Date updated:04-14-2007
The National Hurricane Center has warned that the 2007 season will be more active than normal. Last week,William Gray, a top hurricane forecaster based at Colorado State University predicted a "very active" season this year with at least nine hurricanes -- five of them major hurricanes -- and a good chance that one major hurricane will hit the U.S. coast. The National Hurricane Center will issue its forecast for the 2007 season in late May but investors seem to be front running the forecast eveidenced by recent price action(2 out of these 3 made all-time highs today).These companies provide support services to offshore rigs that might get damaged from the path of a hurricane and need to be transported for repair.

-
TDW
Tidewater Inc - $44.03
- +0.16%
- $44.12
P/E: 10.5 Op. Margin: 33% Tidewater Inc. (NYSE: TDW) announced today that its fiscal 2007 fourth quarter earnings release and conference call have been scheduled for Thursday, April 26, 2007. The press release will be issued before the market opens and the conference call will begin at 10:00 a.m. CDST. All-time high today.

-
CKH
Seacor Holdings I - $70.50
- 0.00%
- $N/A
P/E: 10.9 Op.Margin: 21% Seacor Holdings Inc is boosting its securities buyback authority by $65.2 million. With the increase, the company said it has $75 million available for repurchases of company stock, senior notes and other items.

-
TRMA
Trico Marine Serv - $3.37
- -1.46%
- $N/A
P/E: 10.6 Op.Margin: 37% In a 13G filing after the close on March 12, SAC Capital/Steven A. Cohen disclosed a 5.9% stake (884K shares) in the company. The firm did not show an active stake in TRMA for the quarter ended December 31, 2006. TRMA made an all-time high today.

-
OII
Oceaneering Intl - $52.12
- -1.40%
- $52.72
P/E: 15.5 Op.Margin:15% RBC Capital Markets calculates a target price of $50 or ~18x 2007 EPS est.
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A. I have to lay this out, so give me a
break on the length guys.
I'm always working for you guys first
off all! I just got done reading a good
report regarding what I think is a good
investment not trade...Investment! Can
you believe I said that word?...me Mr
trader...lol
Please see old SNH post here
http://www.stockpickr.com/members/view/a
nswers/67958/
My thesis for owning (SNH)...Is a couple
fold. One lets put the cards on the
table and call it how it is. We are in
the midst of a progressive social
agenda.
And the care of the rapidity exploding
care of the elderly will be a big part
of
that. It is not too far fetched to think
them facilities will see some type of
subsidy in the next 4 years....My
opinion that is. So I guess that could
lend
some credence to the visibility in some
of their earnings to an extant. Brian
lasrson and i had a conversation earlier
with regards to REITS. he wanted to
start shorting Commercial rental and
tenant rental REIT's. (I hope I spoke
properly for him).I added that come debt
rollover time...the folks who are
buying the debt want to see(as one of
their metrics) occupancy numbers and in
some cases proof of future lease
payments. that is problematic in the
sectors
or
REITS. I dont see that in the health
cars REITS for obvious reasons. One, is
because if you ever ended up in a
facility the get your SS benefits from
the
govt. Also the divys are real attractive
here. Are they backed by a quasi payer
so to speak?
The report is entitled :
Senior and Healthcare REITs Most Stable
Segment of Beaten Down Sector; Data
Center REITs Also Offer Positive Returns
According to Industry Expert
On Monday July 27, 2009, 9:27 pm EDT
"TWST: Where are you pointing
investors at this juncture?
Mr. AuBuchon: Not a lot of places
unfortunately. I think where we're
really
starting to focus our attention is the
healthcare REIT space. Our current
position on the sector is an Evenweight
rating but we do have a couple of
Outperforms, HCP, Inc. (HCP) and Senior
Housing Properties Trust (SNH). As I
said previously, I think REIT
performance is going to be flat for the
next year
in response to poor fundamentals and if
you do believe in that thesis, then it
makes sense to be a little bit more
defensive. The healthcare group
generally
fits the defensive definition and their
balance sheets as a group are much
better than other property types. We're
not there yet. I do have some concerns
in the healthcare space related to the
senior housing space, primarily
independent living, which is essentially
retirement communities. The cost to
live in those communities is primarily
funded with private capital, and
private
capital sources are usually housing and
equity/debt investments. Clearly both
of
those capital sources have undergone
some pretty significant declines over
the
last several years and, as a result, I'm
concerned about the occupancy and
rental rates in that space. But if we
start to see that area stabilizing,
we'll
feel much more comfortable recommending
that people look at the healthcare
group
a bit more aggressively."
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Senior-and
-Healthcare-REITs-twst-2459749305.html?x
=0
A. The only one I own : SLX,
too hard pick a winner out all of them
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04/13/2007 14:37 PM CDT Asked by valleygirl
Busy hurricane season = buy MANUFACTURERS (not retailers) of both gasoline generators and propane whole-house power systems. I live on an island in Florida; trust me!!!
04/13/2007 14:04 PM CDT Asked by valleygirl
CLHB was one that profited huge off 2005 hurricane season; they clean up all the big messes! Some more speculative plays would be NLST, HSOA, WEGI...bigger name URS for infastructure and AA and UFPI for aluminum and wood rebuilding. What about FRZ for all the ice needed???