Date updated:01-06-2007
Investment bank Brean Murray recently put out a report that provides the updated summary stories on the stocks and calls its analysts find most compelling for 2007. It includes 13 stocks from 5 vertical sectors of research coverage which its analysts have the highest conviction will outperform in 2007.

-
AOB
American Orientl - $4.08
- 0.00%
- $N/A
Rating: BUY Target: $16 Sector: China AOB is one of our 2007 China small cap top picks based on its continuing growth potential and our December 2006 China diligence activities verifying the company’s plant-based pharmaceutical market position.

-
RAE
Rae Systems Inc - $0.77
- -4.94%
- $0.82
Rating: BUY Target: $7 Sector: China RAE is one of our 2007 China small cap top picks based on the company’s recent Fushun investment. We view the current share price weakness as a buying opportunity and are reiterating our Buy rating and $7 target price. The $10.8 million cash investment in RAE Coal Mine Safety Instruments (Fushun) Co., a joint venture with Liaoning Coal Industry Group Co. (Liaoning), solidifies the company’s China coal mining safety market presence and should strengthen its future cash position.

-
BRLC
Brlc - $0.00
- N/A
- $N/A
Rating: BUY Target: $14 Sector: China Driven by its Olevia brand’s swift rise and expansion into mainstream retail channels, Syntax-Brillian (SB) should continue its recent trend of outperforming analysts’ expectations, according to our research. Moreover, the company’s revenue and profits should continue to accelerate, benefiting from rapid shipment growth and strong gross margin. Yet, due to fears of declining LCD TV prices (which actually benefit SB’s low-cost/high-quality model) and SB’s prior lack of profitability (we project substantial net income and cash flow in each quarter of CY07), BRLC trades at 10-11x our conservative CY07 EPS estimate, which is a substantial discount to its projected 100%+ growth rate (for CY06 and CY07). Our target price of $14, based on 18x our CY07 EPS estimate, implies a 60%+ appreciation from the current price of $8.65 and, as such, BRLC is a top pick for 2007.

-
CMRG
Casual Male Retai - $2.97
- 0.00%
- $2.91
Rating: BUY Target: $16 Sector: Consumer Casual Male’s initial transformation to high-quality growth retailer from fitful turnaround, which began in 2H06 and validated our continuing Buy rating, should, in our view, play out further in 2007. It should lead to multiple expansion as well as 65%+ earnings growth from a non-nominal 2006 base and 20-25% annual growth thereafter. Visibility is strong, as the company is the increasingly dominant player in the big and tall men’s apparel market, which is burgeoning for deep-seated demographic reasons.

-
LCUT
Lifetime Brands - $7.85
- +0.64%
- $N/A
Rating: BUY Target: $25 Sector: Consumer Lifetime has maintained 20%+ organic wholesale revenue growth for two years and, in our view, has clear visibility going forward to similar top-line growth and 20%+ EPS growth per annum. Yet LCUT trades at a P/E of 9.6x based on our 2007 EPS estimate. The stock got crushed owing to disappointing 4Q06 results pre-announced toward year-end 2006, for short-term reasons already largely normalized (see our note of December 22, 2006), with the decline undoubtedly accentuated by year-end portfolio dressing and tax selling.

-
SHFL
Shuffle Master - $8.85
- -0.78%
- $8.79
Rating: BUY Target: $38 Sector: Consumer Shuffle Master’s attractive valuation and improving outlook should drive impressive gains for the shares in 2007, while its leadership in a unique and expanding niche, free cash flow, and share repurchase activity should limit downside and contribute to a risk/reward proposition that is very compelling and warrants our top pick designation in gaming for 2007.

-
TRLG
True Religion App - $18.725
- -0.61%
- $N/A
Rating: BUY Target: $22 Sector: Consumer We are anointing True Religion as one of our top picks for 2007. We believe in 2007 the company will prove its numerous naysayers wrong and register solid top- and bottom-line upside from a number of sources. We also believe in 2007 True Religion will begin to reap the fruits of its recent focus on increasing the depth of its designer pool and improving international operations to further diversify its level of offerings and reignite international growth. Given TRLG’s valuation of approximately 11.0x our 2007 EPS projection and the company’s net cash position of $1.46 per share as of the end of 3Q06, the risk/reward in TRLG is impressive, in our view.

-
ANGO
Angiodynamics - $16.01
- 0.00%
- $N/A
Rating: BUY Target: $29 Sector: Healthcare We have selected AngioDynamics as the top pick in our MedTech universe for 2007. In our judgment, there are several catalysts converging that will ignite share price appreciation in the New Year. Specifically, the pending RITA acquisition affords the company opportunities, both in the U.S. and Europe, to fuel annual sales growth beyond our original 25% projection. RITA broadens AngioDynamics’ product assortment and leverages its formidable sales force, provides access to larger market opportunities with differentiated products, and AngioDynamics gains access to additional R&D with expertise in tumor ablation and port technology. In addition, we cite the ramp of Sotradecol sales in the U.S. largely driven by the sole distributorship arrangement, introduction of new products with higher margins, resolution of the Diomed case and entrance into new markets, including oncology.
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A. I have to lay this out, so give me a
break on the length guys.
I'm always working for you guys first
off all! I just got done reading a good
report regarding what I think is a good
investment not trade...Investment! Can
you believe I said that word?...me Mr
trader...lol
Please see old SNH post here
http://www.stockpickr.com/members/view/a
nswers/67958/
My thesis for owning (SNH)...Is a couple
fold. One lets put the cards on the
table and call it how it is. We are in
the midst of a progressive social
agenda.
And the care of the rapidity exploding
care of the elderly will be a big part
of
that. It is not too far fetched to think
them facilities will see some type of
subsidy in the next 4 years....My
opinion that is. So I guess that could
lend
some credence to the visibility in some
of their earnings to an extant. Brian
lasrson and i had a conversation earlier
with regards to REITS. he wanted to
start shorting Commercial rental and
tenant rental REIT's. (I hope I spoke
properly for him).I added that come debt
rollover time...the folks who are
buying the debt want to see(as one of
their metrics) occupancy numbers and in
some cases proof of future lease
payments. that is problematic in the
sectors
or
REITS. I dont see that in the health
cars REITS for obvious reasons. One, is
because if you ever ended up in a
facility the get your SS benefits from
the
govt. Also the divys are real attractive
here. Are they backed by a quasi payer
so to speak?
The report is entitled :
Senior and Healthcare REITs Most Stable
Segment of Beaten Down Sector; Data
Center REITs Also Offer Positive Returns
According to Industry Expert
On Monday July 27, 2009, 9:27 pm EDT
"TWST: Where are you pointing
investors at this juncture?
Mr. AuBuchon: Not a lot of places
unfortunately. I think where we're
really
starting to focus our attention is the
healthcare REIT space. Our current
position on the sector is an Evenweight
rating but we do have a couple of
Outperforms, HCP, Inc. (HCP) and Senior
Housing Properties Trust (SNH). As I
said previously, I think REIT
performance is going to be flat for the
next year
in response to poor fundamentals and if
you do believe in that thesis, then it
makes sense to be a little bit more
defensive. The healthcare group
generally
fits the defensive definition and their
balance sheets as a group are much
better than other property types. We're
not there yet. I do have some concerns
in the healthcare space related to the
senior housing space, primarily
independent living, which is essentially
retirement communities. The cost to
live in those communities is primarily
funded with private capital, and
private
capital sources are usually housing and
equity/debt investments. Clearly both
of
those capital sources have undergone
some pretty significant declines over
the
last several years and, as a result, I'm
concerned about the occupancy and
rental rates in that space. But if we
start to see that area stabilizing,
we'll
feel much more comfortable recommending
that people look at the healthcare
group
a bit more aggressively."
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Senior-and
-Healthcare-REITs-twst-2459749305.html?x
=0
A. The only one I own : SLX,
too hard pick a winner out all of them
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01/06/2007 13:39 PM CST Asked by David Amann
Current price of portfolio: $250
Target price of portfolio: $329
Forecast return: 31.6%
Heck of a return in 2007. Let's say that I doubt they'll hit all of their forecasts. If this portfolio does better than 20% by the end of 2007, I'll eat a bug.
David